Navigating the Intermittency: A Generative Surrogate for Long-Horizon Forecasting of Minimal Flow Unit from Sparse Measurements

Date:

This work introduces an equation-free, data-driven reduced-order model for wall-bounded turbulent flows, designed for potential integration into active control loops. The framework integrates a β-VAE-GAN for non-linear spatial dimensionality reduction with a sensor-conditioned Easy Attention Transformer for temporal evolution. Evaluated on the Minimal Flow Unit at \(Re_\tau = 200\) at \(y^+ = 14\), the architecture compresses the flow into a four-variable latent space while preserving the turbulent kinetic energy and integral length scales. This learned manifold autonomously isolates the low-frequency signatures of the near-wall intermittent regeneration cycle. By conditioning the Transformer on three sensors, the model sustains accurate latent trajectories over extended horizons from a minimal initialization window. End-to-end inference reconstructs flow fields near the upper limit of the compression stage, with quadrant analysis confirming the accurate capture of dominant ejection and sweep events. While extreme bursts are slightly attenuated, the framework's ability to track alternating active and quiescent phases demonstrates its potential as a robust state-estimator for future model-based control applications.